Another very interesting presentation from Perun…
Highly recommended.
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Ukraine’s mid-range strike campaignJune 10th, 2026 |
 3 comments to Ukraine’s mid-range strike campaignLeave a Reply |
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Yes – targeting roads, rail lines and trains, and bridges – especially bridges.
The Russian armed forces does the same thing as the Ukrainian armed forces (they also target roads, rail lines and trains, bridges and so on) – but their drones and so on, are less high tech – that does give the Ukrainian armed forces an edge in this.
The Russian armed forces continue to push forward in some (some) areas – but the Ukrainian armed forces believe they can undermine these advances by targeting Russian supplies and reinforcements.
By the end of this month (June) we will know if that is correct or incorrect.
What Perun does not touch on is that for a week now gas stations (AZS – avto-zapravochnaya stantsiya) in Crimea have only been selling gasoline by ration cards and/or QR codes for 20 liters/week largely unavailable to regular people, and completely off limits to tourists. The tourists cannot leave Crimea now, because driving is out, and airports are in lockdown 80-90% of the time. The shortages have now spread to Donetsk and Krasnodar regions, and I have seen videos of long lines in Moscow and Saint Petersburg. Combined with strikes on refineries (NPZ – neftepererabatyvayushchiy zavod) and fuel storage and distribution facilities, which (unsurprisingly) come with black smoke and oily rain, this has brought the war home to many ordinary Russians. My feed has exploded with short videos of regular Russians’ reactions, mostly ranging from “blyad'” to “what is happening” to “what did we do to deserve this”.
And no, there is no groundswell revolution coming – modern Russia does not work this way – this is not 1917, and Russia is not broke. But Russia’s Afghanistan aventure did not end because of a revolution either. It took Gorbachev and four years of perestroyka/glasnost. It took a cost/benefit analysis that I think Putin is capable of, but not willing to admit to. I don’t see another Gorbachev in the cards, so… I don’t know – terrible end or endless terror.
After four years, the Russian campaign against Ukraine has truly failed.
Still, they can always look on the bright side: the US campaign against Iran has failed after barely four months.