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Iran’s unrest I do not have a good enough grasp of Iran’s internal political and social dynamics to know if this wave of resistance has an real prospect of unseating the ghastly Islamic regime, but that would indeed be a truly wonderous start to 2026 if it was to happen.
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I suspect the Mullahs will not go quietly. If half the population has to die for them to remain in power, they will be fine with that.
And if the people are in fact exercised enough to push things to that level…what is the rest of the World prepared to do?
Will we intervene before half the population–and none of the ones who deserve death–dies?
I’m tired of sending American sons and daughters overseas to face death. Period. I don’t care what the “cause” is. But IIRC, the Iranian people are a decent and Western civilization friendly lot and given the Mullah’s penchant for not staying at home with their murderous rampages, maybe we have multiple reasons to help, materially help.
If the DLI-Farsi alum are missing their holiday parties, I’d say someone is interested here.
The mullahs will fall when their guards decide they’ve had enough of them. But then the IRG will take over and nothing much will change. The uprest will just give them an excuse.
That will happen when the mullahs lead the IRG into failure or cut their money. The loss of face recently with respect to Israel will be pushing that closer.
Note that the Israelis do not strike the mullahs. They strike the IRG. That’s where power now lies.
Of course if the IRG take over and things get worse, the public may yet rise up sufficiently to put them out of power in turn. A lot of revolutions occur in two distinct stages. Often after several aborted attempts at revolution get very nasty first, of course. The Russians had a dry run in 1905, for example.
Do you think that Trump and Netanyahu will act just as Biden acted in ’22? Sternly worded letters and such?
I’ll be disappointed if they do.