More good sense on the current economic difficulties.
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More good sense on the current economic difficulties. At the bottom of the interventionist argument there is always the idea that the government or the state is an entity outside and above the social process of production, that it owns something which is not derived from taxing its subjects, and that it can spend this mythical something for definite purposes. This is the Santa Claus fable raised by Lord Keynes to the dignity of an economic doctrine and enthusiastically endorsed by all those who expect personal advantage from government spending. As against these popular fallacies there is need to emphasize the truism that a government can spend or invest only what it takes away from its citizens and that its additional spending and investment curtails the citizens’ spending and investment to the full extent of its quantity. – Ludwig Von Mises as quoted by Toby Baxendale Here is a nice little video, via the blog of Tom G. Palmer, singing the praises of free trade, ahead of the upcoming G-20 meeting in the US. Incidentally, the recent decision by The Community Organiser to slap tariffs on Chinese tyre imports – focusing particularly on China – looks to be especially dumb. Given that the Asian giant holds rather a lot of US debt, and has the ability to switch dollars for euros on a vast scale, making such a move seems almost reckless. About as clever as moving to switch off anti-missile defence over Poland on the 70th anniversary of Hitler’s invasion of Poland. In the latter case, the decision may have been right on specific military grounds, but the timing was dumb. Was not part of the appeal of the chap from Chicago that he did not make such errors? We were promised that Mr Obama would be all smooth and charming to other countries, unlike the terribly vulgar Mr Bush with his Texan drawl (sarcasm alert). But I am not really sure that Mr Obama is not as capable of making an even more dangerous mistake: he pisses off really important, or potentially important, allies and large economies in a position to act. Annoying the French, as Mr Bush wonderfully did, is hardly a mistake, but hitting China with a very public act of protectionism, most decidedly is.
Writes Matthew Taylor, former policy adviser to the Blair government, in today’s Times. I think that is not quite right. Not “feel compelled” – “are compelled”. Elected representatives do not stay elected very long unless they maintain the fiction for those who voted for them that someone else is less deserving, someone else is paying. Taylor says ‘leadership’ is the answer. I wonder why we should believe that, when politicians are actually exercising leadership all the time, in the manner their interests direct. Leadership conferred by outbidding other leaders for the favour of the public is precisely where consumerist politics comes from. There is a nice article in the Daily Telegraph today talking of how humans, be they religious, pagan or unbeliever alike have celebrated the festival of the harvest, in this time of Keats’ “season of mists and mellow fruitfulness”. And as we remember the other day after the death of “Green Revolution” scientist Norman Borlaug, the harvest has been something that we not only take for granted these days, but have even reached the point where, in recent years, our political leaders have thought fit to actually pay farmers not to grow stuff. The idea of set-aside subsidies was, if I recall rightly, one of those many terrible ideas of Roosevelt in the Great Depression. Some idea of how far we have travelled comes up in this nugget of information from David Carpenter’s account of early Medieval Britain, The Struggle for Mastery. On page 36, we come across this:
Such a massive increase has a lot to do with why, despite the population increase since the 12th Century, Britain had a sufficient surplus of food production to embark on an Industrial Revolution several centuries later. For in the time of William the Conqueror and for some time thereafter, mass famine was a grim reality of life. So I will be celebrating the harvest this year and salute the scientists, farmers and yes, the commodities speculators of Chicago and elsewhere for making our daily bread as plentiful as it is. Here’s to them. Now, shall I go for wheat beer or the barley variety later this evening? From time to time, the Guardian, to its credit, likes to shake up its leftist readership with a dose of sanity. Here is a fine example. The other day, I criticised a short programme slot about how the Chicago school of economics – to use that rather loose term – might have to carry some responsibility for the credit crisis. The programme was put together by the Channel 4 news programme. Anyway, someone at the show noticed my comments, and the journalist who put the programme together, Faisal Islam, was kind enough to comment at some length in an email to our editors. Here goes: “Hello Johnathan,”
Here is Faisal’s link. Good for Channel 4 for its reponse to what was a fairly grumpy posting by me. I guess I should have mentioned its Jim Rogers interview. I actually did link to it a while ago on this site. Jim Rogers is great value. Anyway, I think my original point still stands, although in the light of the reaction, I will be a bit easier on Mr Islam from now on. It is gratifying that we got a response, and that Mr Islam even understood the significance of why we are writing about this topic and get annoyed if schools of economic thought are presented in a seemingly unfair way. If parts of the MSM pick up on the idea that the credit crisis cannot be blamed on “greedy bankers” and derivatives – although these instruments can be aggravating factors – but has origins in erroneous ideas of printing money, “too big to fail” bailouts and the rest, then we might be making progress. By continuing to slog away at it, we can influence ideas that are held in the media/academy and even public affairs more broadly. And influencing a guy who presents economic and business news for a major UK news channel is a pretty big deal. US-based academic Stephen Hicks, whose excellent website I occasionally check in on, is taking part in a conference in Las Vegas on 11-13, April, next year. And he is raising the issue of what are the ethical issues stemming from the turmoil. As he rightly notes, a lot has been said and written about the economic, political, even legal sides of the drama. But the ethics? Not so much. If you want to mix a bit of food for the brain with a few sessions at the blackjack tables and the odd show, this might be a fun few days. It is certainly like to be more intellectually and sensually stimulating than watching the latest offerings of Michael Moore or the Hugo Chavez fan, Oliver Stone. Update: talking of which, how interesting it is that Mr Stone should champion a regime that exercises media censorship. A commentariat has pointed out a very interesting Reason article on Ben Bernanke. In the words of Ron Paul:
I will be very interested to hear others impressions of this thesis. The US Securities & Exchange Commission, which regulates US-based financial institutions, has been blasted by a report for failing to act to stop the massive Ponzi scheme fraud of Bernard Madoff, who has been jailed after admitting his crimes. The SEC, like Britain’s own Financial Services Authority, has not exactly covered itself with glory during the financial crisis. A point worth making – since I doubt it will occur to much of the MSM to make it – is that this episode will hardly deflect policymakers from the idea of loading even heavier regulations on financial services. Our own Financial Services Authority, in the form of its chairman, Lord Adair Turner, recently reminded people of how bureacratic mindsets work by calling for a tax on financial services which he says have become “too big”. Politicians and commentators routinely describe the crisis as somehow proving that “unregulated capitalism” has failed. And yet the SEC failure over Madoff proves a very different point: you can have all the regulations in the world, but if you don’t enforce them, and financial watchdogs are run by people lacking a bit of common sense, then the regulations will be useless. As I keep reminding people, the credit crisis and the subsequent fallout occured, primarily, right under the noses of the world’s most powerful regulators and central banks, and not some obscure Caribbean tax haven or Alpine principality. And yet the impression given is that we have lived through a sort of re-run of a Wild West movie. The truth is very different. A few evenings ago I came across this graph. Some of you may also have seen it recently as it seems to be one of those things which is making the rounds: ![]() The Fed and inflation. TCSDaily It shows inflation as we know it pretty much begins with the creation of the Fed. The buying power of a dollar slowly appreciated between the founding of the US and the start of the Fed; over the next century that value has plummeted. As we are wont to say here at Samizdata: “The State is not your friend.” You can read more about it here. The idea of the Enemy Class, to coin Sean Gabb’s term, gains credibility by the hour. A distinguished member of this class is Lord (but of course!) Adair Turner, now chairman of the Financial Services Authority, the regulator of UK financial affairs. The FSA was set up by the current Labour administration in 1997, and among its many achievements is to have largely failed to warn of the catastrophic expansion of credit – driven by central banks – which created an asset bubble in the UK. It failed to warn sufficiently about the high-risk lending policies of mortgage lender Northern Rock. Undaunted, the FSA churns out reams of consultations and reviews on how to make financial services more efficient and professional. It would require the patience of a saint to point out that the best way to promote competitive, high-quality financial services is for regulators and other agents of the State to get out of the bloody way and ensure that firms have to build a solid reputation and for consumers to exercise the virtue of caveat emptor. But the latest foray of the FSA into the issues surrounding the credit crunch may be its lowest point yet. Lord Turner argues that the UK banking sector is too large, so large in fact, that it is harmful to society. He does not, in the widely cited Prospect magazine interview, elucidate what he means by “too large”, or whether it is possible for a civil servant, economist or other such person to figure out the optimum size of a specific sector. When Hayek talked of the “fatal conceit” of socialists imagining they can micro-manage the balance of human activities, this is the sort of hubristic thinking the great man was talking about. I fear Lord Turner is also missing a crucial point, or just ignoring it. The point is that in a globalized economy such as we now have, financial centres such as London, Singapore, Zurich and New York are almost akin to nations in their own right; they dwarf the economies of their host nations because specialisation in finance has moved to a global arena. They rather resemble the old north European Hanseatic League of the Middle Ages. Take a different sector, such as telecoms. Finnish mobile phone firm Nokia is so large, as a percentage of Finnish GDP that a Finnish equivalent of Lord Turner would no doubt argue that the company should be punitively taxed, so that it shrinks and gives the reindeer industry in Lapland a greater share of GDP, or help those vodka retailers do so, or whatever. It is easy to laugh at such bizarre logic, but remember this: these guys have got where they are not by baldly stating their views in quite such terms, but by insinuating them through such question-begging terms as “excessively large”, or by referring to a sector of an economy as “swollen”. Now it is true that as long as big banks can exert a sort of moral blackmail over taxpayers by stating that they are “too big to fail”, and as long as we benighted taxpayers are told we have to bail these guys out, then Lord Turner’s odd logic will gain a kind of ready audience. But he is looking at the problem the wrong way round: instead of making banking smaller and less profitable and simply driving it abroad, the better approach is to remove state-mandated deposit protection; to remove arbitrary and often counter-productive capital requirements and above all, to focus on the prime culprit in this business: the central bank as printer of funny money. But to do that will require the sort of analysis that does not give the FSA, or other bodies, the powers to tax and regulate. The FSA, like all regulators, is forever looking to increase its powers; it is hardly likely to consider the problem in such a way as to make itself redundant. Perhaps we’ll soon be hearing that the casino sector is “excessive” in Las Vegas, gold mining is a “swollen” part of the South African economy, and there is too much reliance on fishing in Norway. And as for those Arabs, they spend far too much of their time drilling for oil. Cannot those chappies do something less fwightfully vulgar? Lord Turner, by the way, is a former director general of the Confederation of British Industry, a lobby group for big business; he has had a consultancy role for Merrill Lynch and has wiritten a long and quasi-statist paper on UK pensions reform. He’s Enemy Class to the core. That he is, as I can attest, a thoroughly likeable guy does not alter that fact. It makes him actually quite dangerous. Update: Tim Worstall points out how opposed to the notion of economic liberty this man actually is. When someone says that “an activity is socially useless”, what he or she really means is that “I don’t understand the use for it so it should be banned”. |
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