The jewel in the crown of Samizdata.net
A blog for people with a critically rational individualist perspective. We are developing the social individualist meta-context for the future. From the very serious to the extremely frivolous... lets see what is on the mind of the Samizdata people.

Samizdata, derived from Samizdat /n. a system of clandestine publication of banned literature in the USSR
[Russ.,= self-publishing house]
There is much to find for those who look
We are not alone
Made possible by...
 
December 12, 2003
Friday
 
 
Iraq Report Card
Robert Clayton Dean (Texas USA)  Middle East & Islamic • North American affairs

The estimable Austin Bay has a midstream assessment of the Iraq campaign and occupation. Grades are mixed. Given Mr. Bay's knowledge of things military and strategic insight (he was a supporter of the Iraqi campaign for hardnosed geopolitical reasons), the mixed grades bear some pondering. Read the whole thing (its not long), but a few excerpts struck my eye:

The number of Free Iraqi police and paramilitary personnel in the field is a rough yardstick, but ultimately Iraqi security is their job. The major U.S. mistake prior to Operation Iraqi Freedom was failing to create a functioning Iraqi constabulary. The United States had 3,000 exiles training in Hungary, but that simply didn't cut it. Interim coalition grade: D.

The March-April military campaign was a huge success. Saddam's regime collapsed quickly, with few civilian casualties. The strategic demonstration of American power was dramatic, and it put teeth in the U.N.'s 1991 resolutions. Some day, U.N. sanctions may mean something again. Final Grade: A (No attack from Turkey, so no A+. A northern attack would have swept Tikrit and the Sunni Triangle, conceivably diminishing the current opposition in these Baathist districts.)

International contributions to Iraqi reconstruction, both in number of contributors and total capital is a strategic political measure. Interim Grade: C-

One measure that he does not address is control of Iraq's borders with neighboring sponsors of terror. Until this occurs, Iraq is not secure. I'm not sure how we are doing on this front, but I read Austin Bay to find out stuff like this!

Interesting, and to my mind somewhat pessimistic, overview of the current situation.

Comments

Where the grades come in lower to me stem from treatment of the conflict as a PR move with muscle instead of reaching War objectives. Every war I've read about in detail always has strong political suasion mucking up the process from the start, and in most cases lasts long enough for the military to be allowed to do what it is charged with doing (Viet Nam the exception, it was always politically hamstrung from the start). In this case it didn't last long enough to ever move out of any such phase.


Posted by toolkien at December 12, 2003 04:40 PM

I'm confused by toolkien's comment.

Wars happen for political reasons and if they have objects at all they are political objects. What the military is "tasked with", has to be expressed as a military task. But complaining about "political suasion" as if military activities ought to be independent of (or even, drive) politically determined strategic objectives is Strangelove territory.

Where the US and allies lose most marks overall in the last couple of years is in letting the Pentagon and intelligence services do their thing out of control. While broad strategy's been plausible, there hasn't been sufficient attention paid to whether detailed tactics and methods support or undermine grand-strategy.


Posted by Guy Herbert at December 12, 2003 05:44 PM

You know, I really hate it when some nitwit group decides to issue 'grades' on government or Organization X's performance.

It's the biggest chunk of arrogance I see on a daily basis, and has the absurd presumption that the graders:
A: Know what the fuck they're talking about to begin with.
B: Know more than whom they're critisizing.

Really fuckin obnoxious. Argue policies all you want, but this grading shit is dumb.

Besides that, I don't really have anything to say on the topic at hand.


Posted by DFenstrate at December 12, 2003 07:06 PM

I've scrolled six or seven items down and can't find any thread about the European "constitution" meeting today, so I'm going to elbow my way in here. I've just watched the news here (France), and the two countries mentioned by all the commentators as standing up for the rights of their citizens are Poland and Spain.

Britain, no. Blair continues to charm, if that is not too strong a word, his way through the EU corridors of power, shaking hands, kissing both cheeks, as long as Jacques and Gerhardt have their trousers down.


Posted by Verity at December 12, 2003 07:34 PM

Victor Davis Hanson says we are winning, militarily and politically.

http://www.nationalreview.com/hanson/hanson200312120835.asp


Posted by M. Simon at December 12, 2003 09:10 PM

DFenestrate, do you think that people who adopt the grading trope really believe it is somehow objective? The point is surely to say, "This is how well I think this organization is doing" on a broad scale, yet to emphasise the subjectivity and tentativeness of the conclusions. School grades are generally understood to be art rather than science, and by adopting the form, the grader is saying that his conclusions are necessarily tentative, but also--importantly--that he is entitled to an opinion.

So A. graders do assert they know what they are talking about, but B. (and this goes to toolkien's point too) it isn't necessary to be better than the gradee in the chosen field in order to assess, approve or criticise his performance or set out criteria for doing so. Otherwise there would be no teachers, coaches, critics, sport, science or performance.


Posted by Guy Herbert at December 13, 2003 07:10 AM
Post a comment









Remember personal info?


Enter anti-spambot Turing code:





Select some text and click this to format it as a quote Make the selected text bold Make the selected text italic Add a web link


Basic html active.

Alas, but for obscure reasons Mozilla, Mac and Linux users shall not harness to power of the push-button formatting options and shall therefore compose basic html with their bare hands. Yet Mozilla, Mac and Linux users shall not fear, for we shall reveal forthwith the mysteries of Basic Html:

<strong>This text in-between is bold</strong>

<em>This text is in italics</em>

And
<blockquote>This is a quote</blockquote>
Remember to close your opened tags as such: <tag> tagged text and closing </tag> and we promise you will get out of here alive.

For adding links, either use the link URL button on the toolbar or enter your code by hand in the following format:
<a href="http://www.your_link.com">your link text or description here</a>

Movable Type's anti-spambot e-mail address protection is enabled.

You are a guest on private property. Have fun but please be civil and succinct. Blogroaches will be persecuted, not to mention IP banned.

Long third party quotes or articles will also be deleted... so just link to articles you think are germane to your comment, don't quote the whole bloody thing.