Thursday
As expected, the refined orbital parameters of 2003QQ47 show no chance of impact with Earth.
Y'all can come out of your Asteroid Cellars now.

Darn, that's so boring! It's much more exciting when there's a chance, however slim, of global disaster and stuff. Don't you think?
Posted by Jay Solo at September 4, 2003 02:02 AM
So a treasure trove of minerals at the top of a gravity well is going to float on by and not a single government space program will attempt to place it in a stable orbit for economic and scientific access. Heck, I bet they never even considered such a venture.
It's just as well - they'd probably screw it up somehow.
Posted by James at September 4, 2003 05:14 AM
Hm, placing an awfully-fast rock with a very serious amount of momentum into stable orbit? Not a trivial undertaking. It would probably be cheaper on fuel to fly one over from the asteroid belt.
Posted by Julian Morrison at September 4, 2003 12:17 PM
Asteroid belt is further away in terms of delta-V.
On the other hand, there are at least a couple 100m+ nickel-iron NEAs within 1000 m/s of the top of our well. It would be more work to bring 'em down to a useable depth than to capture them.
Posted by Dishman at September 4, 2003 12:21 PM
Trouble is, every time I read about "giant lump due to hit earth" I think it just refers to another visit to the UK by Michael Moore
Posted by Johnathan at September 4, 2003 02:11 PM
Well, maybe, but it's not wrong to hope it would have looked close enough to spur some action.
Posted by Jay Solo at September 4, 2003 05:23 PM
Damn! I can stop revising my post-apocalypse SF collection, e.g Day of the Triffids (Wyndham), Footfall, Lucifer's Hammer (both Niven), and the latest one not previously read for some reason, The Alien Years (Silverberg)...
An OT comment, and I know this sounds paranoid, but it's widely believed on the basis of known UK government disaster planning that one of the first things to happen if something like an asteroid strike was imminent is that the police nationwide would be instructed to collect all the licenced weaponry possessed by UK citizens. Go figure, as I believe the trans-Atlantic saying is.
Posted by Tony H at September 4, 2003 09:46 PM
James, 2003 QQ47 cannot be easily captured into orbit about the earth- it has *very* high velocity relative to the earth, inclined over 60 degrees to the ecliptic! See
for a visualization.
Dishman has it right- what matters is not distance, but delta-V needed to retrieve an object. There are hundreds of better candidates out there.
Doug
Posted by RocketPlumber at September 5, 2003 12:41 AM
Ack, the post lost the url for the orbit simulator. Try the link on my name below.
Posted by RocketPlumber at September 5, 2003 12:43 AM
Crap. I had just started to use this impending disaster to justify a bump-up in my ammo stock...you know, you can't be too prepared when an asteroid is plummeting to earth. Now I have to get a whole new set of excuses.
Posted by Jeffersonian at September 5, 2003 03:04 AM
BTW Doug/Jeff: I've not been ignoring XCOR in my X-ship postings lately, it's just that you've not had any public statements for a long time and although I am aware of some very non-public things, I can't print that. Feed me data!
Posted by Dale Amon at September 5, 2003 12:21 PM









